Investment and expansion financial modelling

We draw the financial case for a significant commitment: entry to another Gulf market, a new warehouse or kitchen, a fleet purchase, a platform build or an acquisition. The model sets out the capital required, the timing of its return, the cash trough on the way and the conditions under which the case fails.

A board paper goes with it, stating the recommendation and what must be true for the investment to pay back.

• An integrated model with income statement, cash flow and balance sheet over the investment horizon.
• A capital schedule that shows peak funding and the month it is reached.
• Scenarios for base, slower and faster cases, with a break-even view of the key assumption.
• A returns summary stating payback, net present value and internal rate of return on a stated basis.
• An assumptions book, with a source and an owner for every input, and a board paper with the recommendation.

• Peak funding shows with the month it is reached, before the facility is drawn.
• Payback and return on capital are laid out under each scenario.
• After launch, actual results are set against the modelled case.
• Every assumption carries a named source.
• Your board reviews each investment with a model in hand.

Expansion cases are often built to win approval. Growth is assumed to continue, costs of entry are understated and cash needs are shown at the end of the period when they are felt at the start. The board approves a total and learns the peak funding need only when the facility is drawn. Nobody has written down what would make the investment a mistake.

• An expansion has been approved on a one-page plan with no cash timeline.
• A bank or investor asked for a model and received the group's budget.
• Two projects compete for the same capital and are measured in different ways.
• Previous investments have not been compared with the case that justified them.
• The next generation proposes a market the family has not yet tested.

Chairmen, family councils and boards considering capital expenditure or expansion across the six Gulf markets, and founders preparing a case for outside investors or banks.

Qasim Abbas worked fundraising through seed, Series A and Series B at Nexxo Pay and QPay International, and set the capital logic behind a fleet of about 1,000 vehicles at BaladiMart. We build your model to show a lender or investor what your capital case has to prove.

We build the model as a workbook linked to your ledger for the base business, with market data from sources named in the assumptions book. See how fees work.

Can the model be used for a bank or investor?

Yes. A lender or investor reads it on its own, with every source and assumption listed.

Do you value acquisition targets?

Yes. We model what a target adds to the group's cash and returns under each scenario, and that figure is the board's basis for its price.

Describe the investment the board is weighing. We name the assumptions that matter most and outline the model that tests them.