Fleet sizing and capacity planning

We match vehicles and riders to demand by hour, day and zone. The model sets how much capacity the group holds on a fixed basis and how much it calls on as needed.

The board receives a recommended base fleet, a flexible layer and a reserve, each with its cost.

• An hourly demand profile by zone and day type, built from your order data.
• A capacity model that links orders per rider hour to vehicles, riders and shifts.
• A base, flex and reserve plan showing which capacity is owned, leased or called on.
• A marginal-vehicle test that shows the contribution of the next vehicle at each demand level.
• A hiring and onboarding calendar tied to the forecast, with the capital the plan needs.

• Fleet utilization is read across the whole operating day, so idle hours show where they fall.
• Share of demand declined or delayed for lack of capacity is reported by hour.
• The marginal vehicle has its own contribution figure, and the board sees it before approving the next one.
• The weekly demand forecast is scored for accuracy, and the score is on the page.
• Flexible capacity is reported as a share of total hours, so the layer is planned in advance.

Fleets are normally sized to the worst evening of the year or to the last manager's complaint. The base is then too large for ordinary days, idle time is paid for in wages and lease instalments, and the group cannot show that the next vehicle earns more than it costs.

• Vehicles stand in the lot from mid-morning to late afternoon every day.
• Orders are declined at the dinner peak while the fleet averages low utilization across the day.
• A request for twenty more vehicles reaches the board with no demand case.
• Rider headcount is set by a ratio inherited from another city.
• Partner capacity is used as a stopgap rather than as a planned layer.

Chief executives and finance leads of delivery operators, q-commerce businesses, restaurant groups and retail chains asked to approve more vehicles, and investors who want the fleet sized to demand before they fund it.

Qasim Abbas set the capital logic behind a fleet of about 1,000 vehicles at BaladiMart, so he sizes a network as a series of capital requests. Each vehicle you add is defended by what it earns at your demand level.

We build the sizing model from your dispatch exports, Tookan or another platform, and price vehicle and partner capacity in it. See how fees work.

How much should we keep as a reserve?

Enough that a missed order costs less than the idle capacity that would have caught it. The model prices both for your business.

Can you size for a launch with no history?

Yes, using merchant commitments and comparable zones in your own network.

Does sizing change when we add a partner?

It does. A reliable partner takes a share of the reserve, and the model sets that share and the contract terms behind it.

A vehicle request on the next board agenda is the moment to call. Send us the request and a year of order data, and we test it against your own order curve before the meeting.